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Assembly elections 2022: Clear victory not enough, PM Modi hopes for wave Feb 12th 2022, 14:41, by Editorial The Prime Minister has a charm and an enchanting story to entice voters. For them, the wave is the sign of a great victory. It certainly doesn't mean a hard-to-win situation. On the surface it may be just a sentiment, but the election results are not in the hands of the PM. PM Narendra Modi (file photo) It will not be an exaggeration to say that in the elections, BJP (BJP) Its absolute dominance is at stake for the last seven years. Assembly elections in five states (Assembly Elections) and Prime Minister Narendra Modi (PM Narendra Modi) Continuing BJP wave and claiming massive victory. PM Modi said, 'BJP always serves the people. When BJP is in power, we work with the mantra of 'Sabka Saath, Sabka Vikas'. I can see a wave for BJP in all the states'. Whether it is election rhetoric or electoral denial, this time there are fewer people who believe in it. Let's start with Uttar Pradesh. Poll surveys and ground reports indicate a clear victory for the BJP. Read again – clear victory. This is not a shocking victory. If BJP does not lose more than 80 seats, then there will be nothing to worry for the current Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath. The election results of this state will decide a lot in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections apart from saving reputation. Despite cash transfer in the account of daily wage workers, low cost housing for Dalits and distribution of free ration, there is an anti-incumbency wave in Uttar Pradesh. Negligence during the second phase of COVID, exodus of migrant laborers, agitation against agricultural laws, unemployment and the challenge being faced by the Samajwadi Party have become the neck bone of the state BJP. The position of the rest of the states is as follows: 1. Goa: Hung mandate likely or BJP close to victory 2. Manipur: Possible hung mandate or BJP close to victory 3. Punjab: Victory of Congress or AAP 4. Uttarakhand: Hung Mandate Likely or BJP Close to Win This time around 24.9 lakh voters will exercise their franchise for the first time in the assembly elections. A total of 18.34 crore voters, including service voters, will exercise their franchise, of which 8.55 crore are women voters. This time around, two national parties are trying to defend one of their main strongholds – the BJP in UP and the Congress in Punjab. Of the 52 Lok Sabha seats of the Congress, 11 are from Punjab. Of the 301 Lok Sabha seats of the BJP, 62 are from Uttar Pradesh. The BJP is practically non-existent in Punjab while the Congress is in the fray in UP just for name sake. Religious minorities do not believe in BJP and its influence can be seen in Punjab apart from Uttar Pradesh. Sikh farmers have moved away from BJP on the issue of 3 controversial agricultural laws. Its effect is visible in both western Uttar Pradesh (Jat farming belt) and Punjab. The rise of BJP in Manipur did not stem from ideology According to the prediction of the ABP News-CVoter survey, if we look at the vote share percentage in the Goa assembly elections 2022, then there is a triangular contest between BJP, Congress and AAP. However, BJP is leading in 14 to 18 seats, Congress in 10 to 14 seats and AAP on 4 to 8 assembly seats. BJP is expected to get maximum 14-18 seats, but still it is below the majority mark of 20 seats in Goa. The rise of BJP in Manipur is not because of ideology, but because it is in power at the Centre. It took the party 15 years to get just one seat in the 60-member Manipur state assembly. In the 2017 assembly elections, the Congress won 28 seats, while the BJP emerged as No. 2 with 21 seats. Even then BJP formed the government. Now in Manipur, BJP has given tickets to 11 former Congress MLAs, due to which anger has erupted. According to ABP-CVoter's final opinion poll estimates, out of 70 seats in Uttarakhand, BJP may get 31-37 seats, with Congress likely to get around 30-36 seats. Although AAP has just entered this state, but it can get 2-4 seats. The 2022 elections in Punjab will be won on the basis of the area having a heavy density of supporters. The result of Punjab elections can depend on three areas. The Aam Aadmi Party can strengthen its position to some extent in Malwa, where the Shiromani Akali Dal had won in 2017. A lot can depend on the Congress and its effectiveness in the Doaba region with a large Dalit base. Lastly, there is a key area where the BJP-PLC alliance can focus its attention. But the big question is, how much damage will Captain Amarinder Singh do to the Congress? PM has a siren mantra to woo voters The BJP also has to contend with two chief ministers who are exploring their political prospects with a different objective. Delhi Chief Minister and Aam Aadmi Party chief Arvind Kejriwal and West Bengal Chief Minister and Trinamool Congress (TMC) leader Mamata Banerjee both want to emerge as tough challengers for Modi in the 2024 elections. AAP is pushing in Punjab and to some extent in Goa, Uttarakhand and UP too. Mamta has tried a lot in Goa but so far the results have not been encouraging. Many of its leaders from other parties have disappeared. Some people allege that the leadership of TMC is in the hands of the dictator. The Prime Minister has a charm and an enchanting story to entice voters. For them, the wave is the sign of a great victory. It certainly doesn't mean a hard-to-win situation. On the surface it may be just a sentiment but the election result is not in the hands of the PM. (The author is the CEO of NNIS, the views expressed in the article are the personal of the author.) read this also- President and PM Modi expressed deep grief over the death of Rahul Bajaj, Rahul Gandhi said – a big loss for India IPL 2022 Auction Highest Paid Players: Bihar and UPwala sold the most expensive, see here 10 players with the highest price of IPL 2022 , The post Assembly elections 2022: Clear victory not enough, PM Modi hopes for wave appeared first on News NCR.

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